Barack Obama has unofficially won the state of North Carolina, which makes me unofficially surprised. There are some provisional ballots to be counted, but he has a lead of about 13,000 votes, and they feel it's unlikely that lead will be overturned.
I believe the election is to be certified Dec 1., at which time it is "official" and I will become officially surprised.
History was no guide in this election. Its the first time NC's been won by a democrat in a presidential election since 1976, and the first time Indiana and Virginia have voted for a democrat since 1964, longer than most people on Planet Earth have been alive.
I don't know if this will last or not - there were a lot of things going on to cause it. But the fact that it happened at all is very, very interesting.